Author: Rakesh Upadhyay, CoinTelegraph; Compiler: Deng Tong, Golden Finance
BTC is down about 2% this week, but a positive sign for bulls is that the price has moved away from the weekly low of $64,493. Some analysts expect the next trigger to be the Bitcoin halving. However, cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase warns that Bitcoin's price action after the halving event may face obstacles as this period is usually a weak period of the year for crypto markets and other risk assets.
While the upside looks open, the downside may be limited. Dylan LeClair, senior analyst at UTXO Management, believes that even if there is a decline, Bitcoin is unlikely to fall to $50,000, when a large number of longs may be eliminated. However, he warned that nothing is impossible in the cryptocurrency market.
Cryptocurrency market data daily view. Source: Coin360
While Bitcoin has been leading the market higher, some altcoins have performed well. Pantera Capital's Liquid Token fund said in a shareholder letter reviewed by Bloomberg that it cut its investments in Bitcoin and Ethereum and increased its allocation to DeFi tokens, which helped it achieve a 66% return in the first quarter of 2024.
Will certain altcoins continue to outperform Bitcoin in the short term? Let’s examine the top 5 cryptocurrencies that appear to be performing the strongest on the charts.
Bitcoin has been oscillating inside a symmetrical triangle pattern for the past few days, suggesting indecision about the next move.
BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The 20-day exponential moving average ($68,049) continues to gradually rise and the relative strength index (RSI) is in the positive territory suggesting a slight advantage for the bulls. A breakout and close above the triangle will indicate that the uncertainty has been resolved in favor of the buyers. The BTC/USDT trading pair could rise to $73,777 and eventually to $80,000.
Conversely, if the price turns lower from the downtrend line and breaks below the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that the trading pair is likely to extend its stay inside the triangle. On a break below the triangle, the advantage will tilt in favor of the bears. This could start a decline to $59,000 and then to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of $54,298.
BTC/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView
The 20-day EMA has started to turn up and the RSI is in the positive zone on the 4-hour chart, which shows that bulls have the upper hand. The uptrend is likely to face stiff resistance at the downtrend line, but if the bulls overcome this hurdle, the consolidation phase is likely to end. The pair could move up to $72,000 and later to $73,777.
Contrary to this assumption, if the price turns down and breaks below the moving averages, it will suggest that the bears are unwilling to give up. The pair is then likely to slide towards the support line of the triangle. Sellers will have to pull the price below this level to indicate the start of a decline towards $59,000.
Toncoin (TON) is gradually moving higher towards the overhead resistance at $5.69, suggesting that the bulls are attempting to regain control.
TON/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
Although the rising 20-day EMA ($4.86) suggests that buyers have the upper hand, the negative divergence on the RSI suggests that a consolidation or correction is likely in the near term. If the price turns down from the current levels ($5.69), it will suggest that the bears are aggressively defending the overhead resistance. This could pull the price down to the 20-day EMA.
On the other hand, if the buyers break the $5.69 resistance, the TON/USDT trading pair is likely to start the next leg of the uptrend towards $7.09.
TON/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView
The 4-hour chart shows that the price has been fluctuating between $5.60 and $4.72 for a while. The moving averages have started to gradually turn up, suggesting that bulls have the upper hand. This strengthens the prospects of a breakout above $5.69. If this happens, the pair could climb to $6.48.
On the other hand, if the price declines sharply and breaks below the moving averages, it would suggest that the range-bound movement is likely to continue for a while. If the price breaks below $4.72, bears will have the upper hand.
STX/USDT Daily Chart. Source: TradingView
If the price rises above $3.36, it will suggest that the bulls have absorbed the supply. This will increase the possibility of a rally to the overhead resistance at $3.84. If this level is cleared, the STX/USDT trading pair could move up to $4.27 and subsequently to $5.
Contrary to this assumption, if the price turns down and breaks below the 50-day moving average, it will suggest that the bears are overpowering the bulls. This could start a further correction to $2.50 and subsequently to $2.20.
STX/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView
The bulls have pushed the price above the 20-MA on the 4-hour chart, which suggests that the selling pressure is easing. If the buyers maintain the momentum and push the price above the 50 SMA, the pair might attempt a rally to $3.60 and subsequently to $3.84.
Alternatively, if the price turns down from the 50 SMA, it will suggest that the bears are selling on rallies. A break below $3.05 will strengthen the bears and the selling may accelerate below $2.90.
Mantle (MNT) has been facing resistance at $1.50 but a positive sign is that the bulls have not allowed the price to sink below the 20-day EMA ($1.18).
MNT/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The bulls will once again try to retest the overhead resistance at $1.50. The upsloping 20-day EMA and the RSI near the overbought zone suggest that the path of least resistance is to the upside. If the buyers break the $1.50 barrier, the MNT/USDT trading pair could start a rally to $1.90.
On the contrary, if the price turns down from $1.50, it will suggest that the bears are selling on rallies. The pair could drop to the 20-day EMA. A break below this support will signal the start of a deeper correction.
MNT/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView
Both moving averages are gradually turning higher on the 4-hour chart and the RSI is in the positive territory, suggesting that buyers remain in control. There is a minor resistance at $1.45, but if it is crossed, the pair could climb to $1.50.
The 50-MA remains a key support to watch on the downside. A break below this support will indicate that the bulls are losing control. The pair could then drop to the strong support near $1.15.
MKR/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The MKR/USDT pair could pullback to the 20-day EMA ($3,481), which is an important level to watch. If the price rebounds off this support, it will show that market sentiment remains positive and traders are buying on dips. Subsequently, the pair is likely to retest the overhead resistance at $4,074. If it breaks above this level, the pair is likely to accelerate towards $5,280.
Conversely, a break below the 20-day EMA will suggest that the bulls are in a rush to exit. The pair is likely to drop to the 50-day SMA ($2,794) later.
MKR/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView
The pair has broken below the moving averages on the 4-hour chart, which suggests that the bears are trying to take control. The pair could drop to $3,561 and below it to $3,453, the bulls will try to stall the decline. If the price rebounds off the support, it will suggest that the pair might consolidate for a while.
Conversely, a break below $3,453 could start a correction towards $3,000 and $2,700. The uptrend is likely to resume on a close above $4,074.